Constructive criticism?
Today I received this email.
Do I have to change my analysis? What can I do to improve forecasts?
This entry was posted on Wednesday, September 19th, 2007 at 10:37 and is filed under Mataf. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
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09 19th, 2007 at 11:03
the email states that “some” of the recommendations are reversed. no one is correct every time. i use tue values you give for support and resistance and your trade reccos as a confirmation.
maybe if you published a record of the trades with results that might prove useful - as long as they give profit then that is ok.
every one has different methods but as long as there is net profit that is what matters.
you could post results for one currency if it is too much work to do all.
regards
09 19th, 2007 at 11:05
yes, its better to analyse using elliotwave so we can follow your target. add some time cluster so we can predict the right moment to in. thanks for sharing..
09 19th, 2007 at 11:08
No problem with analysis - Forex is a fast paced enterprise and information must be brief.
Forecasts are credible if supported by reliable references.
Thanks for the service
09 19th, 2007 at 11:09
1. I think your analysis is okay, although it would be good to update currency pairs such as EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY on a daily basis. Ocassionally the forecasts are totally off but more often than not I have made pips following your analysis.
2. Also try and post analysis for the different time zones and trading sessions at least twice a day.
Rgds
09 19th, 2007 at 11:09
Maybe if you try to give some more explanations to catch the logic of your trades, that would be ok. And also if there is short notes why you are taking such positions, like MA 50 is showing reversal, slow stochastic is in a uptrend pattern, something like that. A record of trades with timing would be very useful - entry time, why you enter, exit and why
Anyway, your service is quite useful as a guideline, but every one of us should develop its own system of trading
Regards
09 19th, 2007 at 11:19
Dear Arnaud Jeulin,
I think that your forecast is good but if you add fundamental analysis will be better.
09 19th, 2007 at 11:20
I am really satisfied with the analysis. The market requires patience and dedication to forcast the right entry and exit points. It is not about how many times you enter it is about how many winning trades you score. In short I’m happy.
09 19th, 2007 at 11:26
Great analysis, using it as a confirmation for my trades.
Only one thing left; can you publish the results for your recommendations?
Keep up the good work!
09 19th, 2007 at 11:29
Dear Sir
Your TA charts are excellent. Perhaps an update twice a day would make it more current as to changing situations. I think perhaps another indicator like a 5 or 15 minute SAR might be very interesting. Thank you for your excellent work.
09 19th, 2007 at 11:42
I have been fallowing your analysis for some time now and take this opportunity to thank for your effords. Your trading strategy is more of a trend fallower, but markets (especially EUR/USD ) tend to move in range most of the time. So catagorically your forecasts tend to fail most of the time. BUT this is only in terms of trades taken. In terms of profit and loss I would say (especially for EUR/USD) they tend to balance each other. I do not want to go into details of the reasons for that, but I am sure that gentelmen makes many small profit trades then gives most of them back in few moves.
The way I profit from your suggestions that each marks a potential breakthrough in rage. I take extra caution on those days.
Maybe on those days you expect a breakthrough you may post an alternative, more classical view of anaysis in case it does not. So for those days you can have 2 scenarios, one that you favor, and an other if it fails. Also I tend to observe that your suggestions after a succesful trade mostly fails. For some reason you try to reenter a position again while the previous trade is right on track and profiting. I do not think this second trade suggestion is necessary while you should already have an open position. Just remind your previous comment and make necessary alterations on that position’s strategy. Becouse to me you are suggesting positions, not supplying daily commentry. These differ from each other. Regards, Selcuk
09 19th, 2007 at 11:45
Arnaud.. Thank you for your analysis every day. We always check your take on the majors as a standard part of our daily routine. Your site, analysis and recommendations are very professional and a welcome departure from the disneyland that FX has been turning into on the web in the last few years. Personal view..dont try to do too much. You cant be all things, and what you are doing is good.. Ed.
09 19th, 2007 at 11:46
i used espescially graph pivot points and direction.
09 19th, 2007 at 11:47
Who sent it probably was gambling. In Forex is possible sometimes to do that (the opposite), but your analysis is useful for me to take decissions. Others can use this for gambling…they are free.
09 19th, 2007 at 11:49
Dear Arnaud Jeulin
I’m french, (your name seems to be french, too) so english is not usual for me… Each day i use your information to set support and resistance on my charts, ( i’m a newbe on forex.)
You used indicator , i dont know ” forex trend ” and another , I use slow stochastic and usual indicator…
But, thankyou for your work ( I dont pay to read you, so i can’t be hangry)
09 19th, 2007 at 12:17
I believe you make a great work with great efforts but with joy and satisfaction. Your analysis are free of charge and sometimes better than others quite expensive. Ask people above to subscribe for trials and get a conclusion. Analysis, though based on rules, are always just forecasts…… what makes the difference is the money you can put on the market to increase a right position or to save a wrong one despite any trend analisys or given suggestion to buy or sell.
09 19th, 2007 at 12:30
He used “some” of your recommendations, what about if he used all of them. One of the most important parameters in evaluating a technical strategy is the accuracy of it in different seasonal behavior of market and different conditions. If you have good result during acceptable period of time there is no need to change you analysis structure. By the way doing some reform and review in any strategy should be done in timely manner to correct its performance due to changes happening in the behavior of the technical items which formed the strategy.
Good Luck
09 19th, 2007 at 12:40
I feel myself so lucky to find you and your analysis.When I set up a day strategy,your analysis helps me so much for establishing a standard…Thank you for your great effort !!!
09 19th, 2007 at 12:58
There’s no problem with your forex analytics because theres no exact thing inside forex market and you have your own system.
So if someone use your analytics and can find or make a good trade for him/her self thats already great thing.
09 19th, 2007 at 13:28
Your forex analysis is the first thing that I go to every morning, before I start with my own analysis and trading. I am happy with your good work and appreciate it.
Thank you.
09 19th, 2007 at 13:33
what does mataf means?
09 19th, 2007 at 13:34
Perfect anasyses/signals.Perfect schedule.Perfect web site.Perfect forecasts.What else.Perfect i s right word.Thank you for free forecasts.No many numbers of people like you/your team!
09 19th, 2007 at 13:35
Hi.
Your analysis is best ! But please add signals in your forcast. Just Signals.
Thanks in advanced
09 19th, 2007 at 14:31
This is a good service. The only thing missing is a record of the number of pips (profit/loss) achieved with your trade suggestions. This will help people objectively analyse your recommendations.
The tools section of the site is excellent!!!
09 19th, 2007 at 14:45
I too would like to see more analysis on the yen pairs, eur and gbp. A record of trades would be nice if its not too much work.
09 19th, 2007 at 14:57
Hi Arnaud Jeulin,
Your giving a great free service to the fx community. Don’t let 1 apple spoil it for the rest of us. Every one can use your information to help them make their own trading decision. Thanks for all your efforts & specially your time.
09 19th, 2007 at 15:46
Dear Sir,
The best thing I like in your analysis is that you won,t take positions when you are not sure..
Risk and rewards are well measured in your analysis.
Regards
09 19th, 2007 at 15:52
Je suis tes conseils sur une base régulière pour afiner mes propres analyses.
Merci
09 19th, 2007 at 16:32
Thank you for your time and analysis of the FX market. Very usefull and appreciated. If possible, I would like to see you plot trendlines and post 15 Min charts of the majors. I thank you for your effort and generosity in posting you charts. Having read some of the comments above and I personally feel that this service is a good guide and requests to post results is ridiculous. You are not offering a signal service.
Yours sincerely
William Powrie. (South Africa)
09 19th, 2007 at 16:44
I see a few responders here would like you to post the results of your trades. I suppose that would be interesting and informative. But, most of the time, sudden changes in FX market conditions force you (the individual trader) to bail out of the trade before the limit or stop is hit. I have in the past stuck stubbornly with trades all the way through and have usually regretted it. So what’s the point in posting results of the trades?
Having said all that, I can see how a trader could very well use your service as the basis for a trading plan.
The key to any plan is consistency of execution; and you are consistent in providing good information.
Kudos to you, and I hope you keep up the great work! Cheers, jk
09 19th, 2007 at 17:32
Well, If you are consistently making money trading the way you post them, then in my humble opinion your doing the right thing to continue the same way. The person who traded by doing the reverse of your signal … I really like to see his strategy or logi behind it. Stop losses, targets etc. …
09 19th, 2007 at 17:34
Sorry, I forgot.
Can we read somewhere trade history ? Profit/losses ?
09 19th, 2007 at 18:00
Mr A. Jeulin
Your analysis are fantastic, your predictions are always right on, I check my email for your signals daily just to confirm my own analysis. pls keep on the good work, Nonetheless, If you can just provide the suggested TIME to trade each pair (or some), it will be fantastic. U r one of the best out there.
Rgrds
Neyi
09 19th, 2007 at 18:10
Aloha Arnaud,
I have been using your website for information for 3 years now. I have seen the changes and they are outstanding.
One particular area I think would be very helpful is in the technical tools. I use demark pivots. I use the standard FIXED levels to determine breakout trades..This is how I have been adapting the expected hi and expected low values. I use options to cover the range.
However…after doing some studies, I have found that FIXED values based on a FIXED period of ohlc data is not as precise and helpful as using demark levels that “shift” with real time data. I compare the “shift” to the “fixed” ohlc values to determine momentum and probabilities or true breakout.
So, I am offering a suggestion here so you can improve the concept.. If you were to build a demark table that is live on live data…with fixed levels at the standard 1700 EST “start/end”…You can offer something that would have broad appeal and allow users of this particular technical tool to understand the nuances of using pivots. While I am not using any other pivot calculation, I believe users of those alternative methods would also see a more robust output of “true” pivots..Which we know are directly rendered through price. Using fixed values does not allow the fine granularity that are required to accurately track price as it moves through fixed levels. Because price changes..as does time.
When you compare the fixed with the real time levels, you find important distinctions. Fixed builds a general strategy. Real time levels allow for more tactical maneuvering. So of like a flat map…permanent. But apply a gps device as you are traveling through that map, allows for very fast decision making that a flat fixed map cannot easily provide. The difference is not subtle.
This is the way that I trade demark.
As far as the other elements of your website…I can say with experience using it..I am very pleased with the amount of god information you have put into it and changed the format making it much easier to use.
I would be willing to pay for this information. I am not suggesting you do that. But that is how important it is to me.
Mahalo for your Kukui. Traders helping traders. You ROCK!
ps. oanda just got a 100$MilUSD bump from VC’s! Things are going very well on that platform. I understand from Dr. Michael Stumm, one of the future plans are to whitelabel their superior sts market maker platform. If the opportunity presents itself, I plan to lease a whitelabel for a sub-oanda retail platform of my own. I encourage you to do the same. And at the least, I recommend establishing good relations with oanda and sponsoring their business through you website, as you have done with other dealers. I am a huge fan of oanda…They are very trader friendly…offer fractional pricing..box options. relatively tight BUT stable spreads, and platform reliability is above average. Executions are awesome.. I believe they will become the market leader in a few more years, of not sooner. Anyway..that is my recommendation also…my white label sub-oanda brokerage website will offer the same services as oanda and one name is forex808, catering principally to very large traders residing in my home state, Hawaii. I also am going to make this multi-language to a broader market, primarily targeted as serving the growing asian trading community throughout Hawaii and pacific islands. It should be exciting.
Have a great trading week!
Aloha
tm
Aloha
tm
09 19th, 2007 at 18:27
Thank you for your analysis every day. Every one can use your information to help them make their own trading decision. Thanks for all your efforts & specially your time. I am happy with your good efforts and appreciate it. Thanks for the service and please keep on the good work. Thank you.
09 19th, 2007 at 18:45
Dear Trader,
Your analysis are GREAT, your predictions are always right on track. Can you place my email address in your data base for your daily signals just to confirm my own analysis. My email address is “qazij@yahoo.com”
Regards,
Peter
09 19th, 2007 at 20:20
Hi Mataf, I LOVE YOU. I Love your signal every day, never too late. BUT Never Fundamental analysis. It’s so poor. I want you give the signal not by technically only. You must read fundamentals news too…. I hope and really hope. Thanks
09 20th, 2007 at 0:19
A bit of fundamental analysis will certainly help, likewise regular updates to the initial analysis will do a lot of good as well…but you really are doing a great job no doubt!
Thanks.
09 20th, 2007 at 0:47
I confess that I don’t make time to read your forecasts, but I stay on your email list hoping that one day I will start reading them!
If you ever think of changing the presentation, the format I love best is The Daily Signal from SignalWatch.com, where they forecast and trade the Dow Index futures. I love it because they report all trades, which incidentally includes lots of losing trades.. and I love the accountability that comes with trading your own recommendations. I love that “warts and all” approach because it’s so much like my experience of real trading. To my knowledge, no-one does that for forex, so you could be the first!
Disclaimer: I have no connection with SignalWatch apart form subscribing to their newsletter, which is free.
09 20th, 2007 at 2:57
almost nothing free in the world,but u still provide us signal and idea to trade…tq so much..
09 20th, 2007 at 6:03
hi, thanks for your service, it has done me more good than harm, as far as i’m concerned, every one shuld have a plan and shuld have more than one forecast or trade signal service to use to compare the market, that is that, keep up the good work and we thank u for making it free, God bless you.
09 20th, 2007 at 7:40
Hi Arnauld,
I must confess you are doin great and you do have a broad heart. What if you have the ideas and you did not decide to share it? Noone will crucify you for that cause i am sure you must be doing a lot of hard work to bring those analysis on and conclude that this is going to happen, i am sure you are not there to gamble. This is a giant leap for you, i am sure you have read what all others have to say, pick the good ones and leave the rest, you cant be mr perfect in the forex world, definitely there will be wrong times, but like someone said, so far the net profit it better than the net loss, its alright. I just really started recieving your alerts and the first i tried on tuesday was really lovely, it was as you said but theone for yesterday, that was wednesday was not so good. Please have mercy on us little traders who look up to you guys for mentorship, dont allow us loose all our capital. God bless you as you are being a blessing to others, he will increase you as you are trying to increase others. Have a lovely day today and always.
09 20th, 2007 at 9:23
Many thanks for the analysis. The analysis is fine. I think, it would be better if you can release your forcast at London opening and New York opening.
I make pips safely.
Have a nice day.
Thanks again.
09 20th, 2007 at 12:24
Hi Arnauld, I think the author of that email was a bit “pee’d off” about something. Whatever it was is a problem for him, not you. He ( or she ? ) is not obliged to follow or read your emails or web pages and is free to move off elsewhere. I read several forums and web pages including yours and the negativity of some people is always present. I simply ignore those people and focus on the positive folk.
Do you need to change your offerings? I don’t think so, but if ever you do, I would recommend that you change only because you want to change.
Thanks for this FREE service, which is really rare these days
09 21st, 2007 at 1:42
Arnauld: don´t worry about coments like this. Markets are behaving as usual, is to say cahotic. So, nobody knows what exactly is the factor that engineering the markets, You can say that “herd behavior” of investors is one of the causes and indeed is the one that explain fibonacci forecast. On the other hand mix between fundamental theory and techical studies moves the market..and of course irrationallity and scared investors. However, I think that your forecast are correct in the sense that is founded in a strategy.