October 9th - Ecb Monthly Report, Trade Balance, Initial Jobless Claims, Boj Minutes - Forex Forum

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> October 9th - Ecb Monthly Report, Trade Balance, Initial Jobless Claims, Boj Minutes, G7 Meeting, ECB Trichet's Speech
Arnaud
post Oct 9 2008, 5:43
Post


The volatility is growing, trading is more and more risky. But we can make money if we are cautious.
Today in the economic calendar:

Today: G7 Meeting. The G7 meeting is the meeting of the finance ministers from the group of seven industrialized nations that are the United States, Japan, Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy and Canada. The meeting takes place several times a year to discuss economic policy. Traders should pay close attention to this event as it might bring a new dimension to the markets.

06:00 GMT: Trade Balance. The Trade Balance released by the Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland is a balance between exports and imports of total goods and services. A positive value shows a trade surplus, while a negative value shows a trade deficit. It is an event that generates some volatility for the EUR. If a steady demand in exchange for German exports is seen, that would turn into a positive growth in the trade balance, and that should be positive for the EUR.

08:00 GMT: ECB Monthly report. The European Central Bank publishes a monthly report that contains a detailed analysis of the prevailing economic situation and the risks to price stability. It also provides articles on a wide range of topics related to the tasks of the ECB. A high reading anticipates a hawkish attitude which will be positive, or bullish, for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative, or bearish.

08:30 GMT: Goods Trade Balance, Total trade Balance. The trade balance released by the National Statistics is a balance between exports and imports of goods A positive value shows trade surplus, while a negative value shows trade deficit. It is an event that generates some volatility for the GBP. If a steady demand in exchange for UK exports is seen, that would turn into a positive growth in the trade balance, and that should be positive for the GBP.

12:19 GMT: ECB Trichet's Speech. The European Central Bank's president Jean Claude Trichet was born in 1942, Paris. He graduated from the University of Paris in the facility of economics. In 2003 he became the president of the European Central Bank. He gives a press conference as to how the ECB observes the current European economy and the value of EUR. His comments may determine a short-term positive or negative trend. If he shows a hawkish outlook, that is seen as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, while a dovish is seen as negative (or bearish).

12:30 GMT: Continuing Jobless Claims. The Counting Jobless Claims released by the US Department of Labor measure the number of individuals who are unemployed and are currently receiving unemployment benefits. It presents the strength in the labor market. A rise in this indicator has negative implications for consumer spending which discourage economic growth. Therefore, a high reading is seen as negative, or bearish for the USD, while a low reading is seen as positive, or bullish.

12:30 GMT: Initial Jobless Claims. The Initial Jobless Claims released by the US Department of Labor is a measure of the number of people filing first-time claims for state unemployment insurance. In other words, it provides a measure of strength in the labor market. A larger than expected number indicates weakness in this market which influences the strength and direction of the US economy. Therefore, a decreasing number should be taken as positive or bullish for the USD.

23:50 GMT: BoJ Minutes. The Initial Jobless Claims released by the US Department of Labor is a measure of the number of people filing first-time claims for state unemployment insurance. In other words, it provides a measure of strength in the labor market. A larger than expected number indicates weakness in this market which influences the strength and direction of the US economy. Therefore, a decreasing number should be taken as positive or bullish for the USD.

Come back in one hour with the forex analysis.
Arnaud
post Oct 9 2008, 6:41
Post


Not enough time to post the charts.

Sell AUD USD near the resistance

Very high speculative buy on EUR AUD.

Follow the trend on EUR CHF

Follow the trend on EUR JPY, GBP JPY, USD JPY

Buy USD CAD.

Sell GBP USD

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